I see lots of talk on Lemmy about the AI bubble bursting. That AGI isn’t going to happen in the near-term, maybe it won’t ever happen. And so the the AI bubble will burst; ala the dot-com bubble.

But what exactly will burst? OpenAI and Claude? Those are private companies so maybe they will downsize or merge, but that’s not a bubble? NVIDIA & Microsoft? I don’t really see those companies imploding. They have a pretty large and diversified customer base. Besides, Apple and AWS are already moving away from NVIDIA by making their own hardware. I genuinely don’t understand where the big implosion is. Can someone help me understand this?

ETA: Is there an example analogous to pets.com for this AI bubble?

  • IMNOTCRAZYINSTITUTION@lemmy.world
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    1 day ago

    there’s a lot of AI based startups promising their investors all sorts of outlandish results. eventually it’s going to become clear that those results are not coming the investors will come calling.

    • xmunk@sh.itjust.works
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      1 day ago

      It’s extra frustrating for those of us working in companies where ML is actually a useful tool that we’ve been leveraging for years.

      • iii@mander.xyz
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        1 day ago

        I remember when I was arguing “It’s not ‘learning’, it’s algebra”.

        Now the hype has gone from learning to intelligence.

        It’s still algebra.

        • xmunk@sh.itjust.works
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          1 day ago

          Well yeah - but technically everything is just algebra.

          If it happens on a computer, it can be expressed in s expressions.

          • iii@mander.xyz
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            1 day ago

            Sure, but I do think there’s a difference between your message arriving here, and MNIST recognition algorithms.

    • KittenBiscuits@lemm.ee
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      1 day ago

      Yes. They don’t have to be public companies for investors to lose their shirts, and employees to lose their jobs.