• kersploosh@sh.itjust.works
    571·
    10 months ago

    Violent chaos in the US. One of three things will happen:

    • The Supreme Court sides with the states that want to remove Trump from the ballot. Trump’s minions cry foul and lose their minds.
    • Trump gets on the ballot but he loses to Biden again. Trump’s minions cry foul and lose their minds.
    • Trump gets on the ballot and wins. Trump and the GOP take that as a mandate to govern with impunity, and run roughshod over the country.
    • ℕ𝕖𝕞𝕠@midwest.social
      14·
      10 months ago

      Sure, violent chaos, but very localized. Even most right-wingers aren’t devoted to that tool.

      The ones that are… they’ll be trouble, as you say.

    • xkforce@lemmy.world
      61·
      10 months ago

      Yes and it would very much fit the pattern:

      2020: pandemic millions die

      2021: january 6th

      2022: Ukraine is invaded by Russia

      2023: Gaza

      2024: ???

  • 👍Maximum Derek👍@discuss.tchncs.deEnglish
    371·
    10 months ago

    The lack of snowpack in the US plus ocean temps that are already 6σ over historical averages are probably going to make for an “interesting” summer. As a result, I suspect crop failures are going to get a lot more coverage this year.

    • hoot@lemmy.ca
      28·
      10 months ago

      This is the real scenario, right here. Everyone is so focused on increased disaster occurrences that it feels like this is invisible - until its not. Last summer Alberta was under drought conditions, and overall crop yields were 67% of the 5-yr average.

      Less and less snowpack means less and less water to deal with worse and worse drought conditions.

  • NOT_RICK@lemmy.worldEnglish
    31·
    10 months ago

    No matter what happens in November, I expect this US presidential election cycle to be a shit show.

    • Gork@lemm.ee
      10·
      10 months ago

      Let’s see… Major ones are

      • Russia-Ukraine in Eastern Europe

      • Israel-Hamas in the Middle East

      • Civil war in Myanmar

      • Azerbaijan-Armenia

      Possible flashpoints are

      • Taiwan-China (roping in the US)

      • Russia-NATO (Poland or the Baltics)

      • Iran-Israel (not entirely sure how that’ll work since they’re not directly adjacent)

      • North Korea-South Korea

      I see the world coalescing into two major axes of power: “the West” and Western aligned/allied nations comprising US/UK/EU/Australia/Israel/Japan/S. Korea on one side. Largely Democracies or Parliamentary systems.

      On the other: Russia, China, North Korea, Iran. Largely Autocracies, and one Autocracy with Chinese Characteristics™. All four have beef to pick with Western countries. They might press their advantages if they see that Western support for each other wavers (Ukraine and Israel). We’re already seeing them warm in relations with each other (Putin/Kim visit, arms deals between Russia/China and Russia/N. Korea). They might form their own NATO style Bloc which would be stronger than the paper tiger that is the CIS. Combined, they may very well have the ability to split the West’s priorities if internal division is strong.

      I think it’s going to get even more tense the further this decade goes on. The dice that is the US Presidential election may decide the next big moves of these nations.

      • someguy3@lemmy.world
        41·
        10 months ago

        Don’t forget Pakistan and India and their weird alliances. Though I think the possible war part is on hold because of the floods.

        As for China they are probably shitting their pants when they saw what corruption did to the Russian military. They have to crack down on corruption, make sure their military is up to actual snuff, which pushes back any invasion hope.

  • GluWu@lemm.ee
    101·
    10 months ago

    I’m gonna find my g spot, because there’s only so many places I can look.

  • weeeeum@lemmy.worldEnglish
    9·
    10 months ago

    To be honest every year seems to start with “crazy shit”. We just notice it because “omg this year is so crazy already”

  • radix@lemmy.worldEnglish
    8·
    10 months ago

    If recent history is any indication (it’s not, but it’s fun to think about), the craziness won’t even start for a few weeks/months:

    March 2014: MH370 disappeared.
    March 2015: Germanwings Flight 4U 9525 is intentionally crashed in the Alps.
    April 2016: The Panama Papers are leaked/published.
    February 2017: The Oscars’ presenters forget how to read.
    February 2018: Parkland, Florida school shooting.
    March 2019: The Boeing 737 Max is effectively banned from flights after a string of crashes.
    March 2020: Covid doesn’t start, but finally comes to a breaking point and restrictions are implemented across the US.
    March 2021: The container ship Ever Given ran aground in the Suez Canal.
    February 2022: Russia invades Ukraine.
    February 2023: US Air Force shot down a Chinese spy balloon.

  • QuarterSwede@lemmy.world
    8·
    10 months ago

    China invades Taiwan and the US helps defend them.

    1. China’s president Xi Jingping’s remarks about taking Taiwan back over during his address to the nation this year.

    2. I work with someone who is currently high ranking in a corporation and is a retired submariner who was also in intelligence and is currently in the reserves. He has mandatory federally protected training upcoming this year over this exact scenario (basically, not all of their training is federally protected, meaning an employer can’t retaliate over taking time off to do mandatory training). The military is obviously convinced it’s a real possibility.

    • cooopsspace@infosec.pubEnglish
      2·
      10 months ago
      1. Invasion happens, computer hardware, processors and memory cost get fucked out of our minds again.

      3a. Anything with a chip in its still expensive as fuck, putting further pressure on industries globally.

  • tiredofsametab@kbin.social
    6·
    10 months ago

    I’m finally buying a house and moving with my wife to rural northern Japan, so I can only assume that it will burn down, fall over, and sink into a swamp.

    On a more serious note, the US political situation will probably get a lot worse before (and if) it gets better. It still does affect me since I still have to file taxes, still am restricted in investing overseas (thanks, lack of US recognition of Japanese retirement vehicles and punitive policies meant to prevent people investing in certain foreign investments (PFICs)). I still also have investments in the US, qualify for social security when I retire (assuming it still has any money to pay out in another 20ish years), and family living in the US, some of whom I would like to visit again before they pass.

  • intensely_human@lemm.ee
    6·
    10 months ago

    I think combat drones will go full autonomous this year, as a means of overcoming control signal jamming.

    It will be limited-mission autonomy, and only as a capability not the default operational mode, but there will be a huge push to make the newest drones capable of continue the mission in the event of lost connection with their remote controller.

    It will also be necessary because of the sheer numbers of drones involved in the Ukraine war. There simply won’t be enough pilots.

    Obviously, autonomy already exists. Iron Dome operates autonomously, because attackers have the initiative, the robot is required for fast-enough response.