• 7 Posts
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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: June 12th, 2023

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  • The WMD were always a false pretext.

    And anyway, you can’t cherry pick any one episode or even several from history where the heads of state were wrong or stupid and say that they don’t know more than we do. They literally have everything we have in the public media and enormous intelligence operations working for them. This doesn’t make them honest or infallible, but anyone who sits in their armchair tut tutting about how “gee I hope this president can see it’s an obvious trap” is, in a word, a fool.


  • I’m seeing a lot of advanced retail in US vending machines - inside airports. Food, electronics, cosmetics, all kinds of stuff.

    This hints at the problem. Airports have improved security and you have to spend money on a plane ticket to enter so they don’t suffer the same dystopia as public spaces in the US which are trashed and destroyed by any asshole coming through who doesn’t give a shit, including the extremely impoverished and homeless which as a category includes many drugged up people, congenital criminals, and mentally ill. There are some over generalizations here about Americans all having no respect for others and this isn’t fair. Most are wonderful people. But enough Americans suck that it spoils the party for everyone, and broken window syndrome is a thing.




  • It is hugely overvalued. We should scoff at their crazy highs instead of penalizing them for being below them. You can’t necessarily be blamed because at certain points investors wildly overvalued you. A lot of times the stock market punishes success. My employer for example doubled its business during COVID and when that spike eventually cooled off we were still on a good growth trajectory but a couple of quarters came in at negative YoY revenue and of course everyone lost their minds. This is why I always look at the zoomed out graph. It’s so easy to miss the real story looking at any one slice of it.



  • I found it boring and overwrought on its own merits. And of course it butchers the Tolkein source material. The way they bend over backwards to get the characters to repeat lines from the Peter Jackson trilogy is embarrassing, and their lame attempts at origin stories like “how Gandalf got his staff” are also embarrassing (and that one was a literal shaggydog story to boot). I liked the actor they got for Tom Bombadil but again, making him into a spirit guide for Gandalf was a cliche and butchers the source material.


  • There are some interesting efforts in this direction. Not “without” propellants but with much less. There’s Spinlaunch, the company developing a kind of catapult that gets small rockets high into the atmosphere. And there are efforts to launch smaller rockets from the wings of high altitude planes.

    We should not be “happy” with the current state of things. Anyone who’s played Kerbal Space Program knows what a lousy deal it is launching chemical rockets off the ground. A tiny bit more payload and you need more fuel, more fuel adds more weight and you need more more fuel…

    Rocketry is currently a tiny proportion of emissions so I’m not worried about it. But neither am I complacent about current technology.


  • Yes. I see a consistent trend on the internet where people want to completely jettison their individual consumer behavior from all environmental considerations because big corporations are responsible for more, or because rockets, etc. But I don’t see why this has to be an either/or thing in the first place. Why make people feel like their small contributions are meaningless? Especially in a case like this where the argument isn’t even remotely borne out in the numbers.


  • Road transport: 25-30% of global emissions

    Aviation: 2-3% of global emissions

    Space programs: 0.1% of global emissions

    Now not all road transportation is consumers, but as you can see it is completely appropriate to have focus on road transportation emissions. A tiny efficiency increase there can offset emissions by as much as completely eliminating all human space programs. And we do rely on space programs for real stuff. It’s not all silly rich boy games.