- cross-posted to:
- curatedtumblr@sh.itjust.works
- cross-posted to:
- curatedtumblr@sh.itjust.works

Edit: Ew I didn’t see the watermark, sorry
ifunny watermarks on memes are like sprinkles on sugar cookies
I don’t prefer them, I’d never go out of my way to add them, and I prefer their absence just barely enough that I’d pick one without over one with
That being said, I’d also never complain about it being there XD
“The bean counters told me we literally could not afford to buy seven dollars worth of moon rocks, much less seventy million. Bought ’em anyway. Ground ’em up, mixed 'em into a gel. And guess what? Ground up moon rocks are pure poison. I am deathly ill. Still, it turns out they’re a great portal conductor. So now we’re gonna see if jumping in and out of these new portals can somehow leech the lunar poison out of a man’s bloodstream."
“The bean counters said we could literally not afford to buy seven dollars worth of moon rocks, much less seventy million. Did it anyway! Ground 'em up, mixed 'em into a gel. And guess what? Ground-up moon rocks are pure poison. I am deathly ill.”
Turns out he’s also a climate change denier.
Obviously the moon dust, which was adulterated by aliens specifically for this purpose, did that to him
Relevant study. tl;dr Earth is more toxic: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214552425000252?via=ihub
But less shard dust.
…that’s either a one-in-a-million chance or a VERY common allergy
Or anywhere in between
or less likely than one-in-a-million
Or more likely than 1 in 12
Far as i know it was overdose (and not allergic), because the sharp dust shards (because no erosion) got in the suit and the module? And the other two had symptoms too, just not as much?
isn’t this like saying some people are allergic to asbestos?
What if the moon is haunted and he’s allergic to ghosts
That’s funny and all but if it happened 1 in 12 the chances that it’s very common are orders of magnitudes higher than it being super rare DUH
It’s a very non-representative, very small sample. The error bars in the statistical inference to the whole population includes both “very common” and “one-in-a-million”.
Assuming a representative sample, the best point estimate is 1/12 (8.33%), and the 95% confidence interval is 0.21% to 39%.
Longer explanation here: https://lemmy.zip/comment/19753854
Assuming a representative sample
That’s the thing I doubt a team of highly skilled astronauts will be representative of the human population
I think if anything they would be biased towards having fewer allergies than normal people. Which suggests that 0.21% (1 in 500) is a reasonable bound for how rare a moon dust allergy could be.
Never really verified it but I think allergies are more common in developed countries. If that’s true, that the data is skewed in the opposite direction
Probably more commonly identified
What do the bar represent in 3d space?
What do they represent in 3d space?!? (aggressiveduck.jpg)
Gaussian distributions.
Not every error bar represents a Gaussian, if for no other reason that most error bars aren’t symmetric.
The error bars for small sample size relative to population size are Gaussian.
Error due to a non-representative sample can have a variety of shapes, but their distribution might also be unknown. We do frequently, almost implicitly, assume unknown distributions to be Gaussian, but we should recognize that’s not necessarily a true fact about the universe.









