Intel doesn’t think that Arm CPUs will make a dent in the laptop market::“They’ve been relegated to pretty insignificant roles in the PC business.”

  • BetaDoggo_@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    It will take at least another 10 years to get a majority of the market off of x86 with the 20+ years of legacy software bound to it. Not to mention all of the current gen x86 CPUs that will still be usable 10 years from now.

    • PopOfAfrica@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      Honestly, we just need some sort of compatibility layer. Direct porting isn’t completely required yet.

    • Patch@feddit.uk
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      1 year ago

      You don’t really need the majority of the market to have moved before things start to get tricky for Intel. They’re a very much non-diversified company; the entire house is bet on x86. They’ve only just started dabbling in discrete GPUs, despite having made integrated GPU SOCs for years. Other than a bit of contract fabbing, almost every penny they make is from x86.

      If ARM starts to make inroads into the laptop/desktop space and RISC-V starts to take a chunk of the server market, the bottom could fall out of Intel’s business model fast.

      • Marius@lemmy.mariusdavid.fr
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        1 year ago

        FYI, arm can already handle most Open Source Software with no problem as far compiling them is concerned. In particular, Qt and GTK does work, and cross compiling too is very easy. Not that it’s necessary anyway (aside of probably faster compilation unless you have really good ARM CPU). In particular, QEMU have qemu-user (if you didn’t know), which basically Rosetta for Linux, but with a good performance hit when testing cross-compiled code.

        Edit: In my opinion, what will switch the faster to a non-x86 on a large scale (for computers, not counting phones, tablet and microcontroller, not using them anyway) are servers. A lot of them use standard open source software, so switching might be pretty easy if the package manager abstract it (like… All of those I know).

        I mean, certain cloud provider are starting to offer renting such servers (and not speaking of all those hacker who host server on raspi (and then those who use standard linux on mobile phone too))

    • Buffalox@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      I think it’s safe to say Apple has proved that wrong three times.
      When they switched from Motorola to Power, then from Power to Intel, and latest from Intel to Arm.
      If necessary software will be quickly modified, or it will run well enough on compatibility layers.

      The switch can happen very fast for new hardware. The old systems may stay around for a while, but the previous CPU architecture can be fazed out very quickly in new systems. Apple has proven that.

      • vzq@lemmy.blahaj.zone
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        1 year ago

        Apples advantage is that it controls the whole stack from silicon to App Store. That’s a problem for all sorts of reasons, but here they can use that power to implement the shift in a way that minimally impact the users.

        Keep in mind that M1 it’s not just an ARM CPU. It’s an ARM CPU that has specially designed features that make Intel compatibility fast. Rosetta 2 is a marvel of technology, but it would run like crap on anything that does not have Intel memory model emulation in hardware.

        If you are in a position where

        1. Old binaries have to keep running indefinitely (ie the entire windows market) and
        2. You have to buy regular ARM chips from a regular supplier without special x86 emulation support features

        things are looking quite a bit less rosy for you.

        • Buffalox@lemmy.world
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          1 year ago

          from silicon to App Store.

          Not ther case from Motorola to Power or Power to X86. Very similar software infrastructure to what PC’s have, with lots and lots of 3rd party software vendors.