Ukraine has been rationing ammunition and bullets; meanwhile the Russian army has been using ‘human wave’ tactics by sending poorly trained recruits to the frontline in a bid to force Ukraine use up all of its ammunition.
In Ukraine, the army has been on the backfoot over the last few months; and despite the US package of $61 billion (€56.6 billion) of military support, experts say it will be sufficient merely to hold the frontline and possibly regain some lost territory.
The situation has deteriorated in large part due to a serious shortage of ammunition and weapons from Western allies; where Ukrainian forces say they have been rationing bullets.
Ukraine has been forced to abandon territory westward beginning with Avdiivka in Donetsk region in February.
Due to a distinct lack of military support, Russia has gained and maintained momentum.
According to Anders Puk Nielsen https://www.youtube.com/@anderspuck, Russia is probably peaking right now, because they have transitioned to war time economy, and they are restoring old Soviet equipment.
The problems for Russia are that their industrial output is declining, despite heavy public investments, in part because of sanctions, and in part because of worker shortage, and their Soviet equipment reserves are dwindling.
Hopefully the situation will get worse for Russia quickly, among other things they are allegedly beginning to experience an oil shortage now. Due to the strategic bombing from Ukraine.
So while Ukraine is hard pressed currently, time is most likely on the side of Ukraine. Which is contrary to what Putin counted on, when he bet the West would quickly tire of supporting Ukraine.
US military equipment were actually on standby in Poland for delivery, just before the anticipated final vote and approval in Congress. In spite of this, the real challenge is actually once delivered to their intended destination-- setting up and deploying the equipment to combat still takes time.
Yes US logistics is legendary, I’m guessing units at the front are getting better equipped already, but it probably takes time to fill the gap of months of shortages.
And Ukraine was pushed from their trenches and did not have fortified backups at the level of the first lines.
Absolutely, even when they get stocked up again, that doesn’t give them back what they lost.